Monday, 10 August 2015

Why is Jeremy Corbyn popular in many Labour circles?

The political establishment is yet to catch up with the mood of our times.

A fortnight ago the Guardian published an article which asked readers to get in touch and let the paper know which candidate they intended to vote for in the Labour leadership election. Over 2,500 people responded - all explaining their reasoning for backing any of the four candidates. Some three-quarters indicated that they would vote for JeremyCorbyn. Of course, the paper did not claim that it was an unbiased sample when analysing the responses. Nevertheless it was a very revealing exercise.  
I went through a number of the responses and there were common themes.
First on the Labour Party:

·         Labour has just decisively lost an election trying to copy the Conservatives

·         Labour has become akin to desperate sales people who will say anything to get elected. My advice is to stay true to principles and believe in them.

·         What is the point of winning just to implement Tory-light policies?

·         Labour is not facing up to the reality that millions of lives have been blighted by Tory ideology and their agenda

·         Labour’s stance on the Welfare Bill revealed a lot ...

·         What is the point of Labour if not to stand up for ordinary working people as well as the young, sick, disabled or unemployed?

Then on Corbyn:-

·         He is the only one talking about child poverty, homelessness, unaffordable housing, privatisation and progressive taxation

·         They (the four candidates) are all likely to lose the next election but at least Corbyn will do it with some principles.

So I come back to a question I asked in a blog some month or so ago. What indeed is the point of Labour today?

Shortly after the election Tristram Hunt, the Shadow Education Secretary, argued that Labour’s defeat was due to more than just policies. It was also down to how society has changed over time. He went on to list:

-       The steelworks and pits have gone …the chapels have emptied.

-       There is a weakening of class-based identity… the unions have disappeared in the private sector

-       The old political allegiances have gone…and have been replaced by a more fluid political identity

-       Globalisation and new technology have caused a new revolution.

Therefore he concluded that there is a bigger challenge facing Labour than just finding ‘its beating heart’. That could very well be true, but I am not sure that he is entirely grasping the enormity of the changes that have taken place and the challenges that, in fact, confront all centre-left parties.

Yes, it is true that times have changed compared to the period after the Second World War to the 1980s. But it is not only the times that are changing, but people also. The impact of new technologies has meant that now in an instant we all can become considerably more aware of what is going on in the wider world. As a consequence issues, scandals and the like cannot be hidden from people any longer. We all have instant access to how the establishment behaves, including the corruption and lies, abuse cover–ups that have seemingly been going on since the 1970s as well as other matters of principles in public life. So, in other words, the ‘age’ when people were easily  ‘kept in the dark’, ‘duped’ and ‘misled’ - for even centuries – came to an end at least ten years ago.

The problem is that the establishment and the political classes have not woken up to the fact, or are deliberately not responding to the major changes in people’s attitudes, values and expectations. We also know that they have powerful allies with a range of vested interests within the media, business, finance, multi-national corporations etc

The centre-left, or as I would much rather call it the ‘progressives’ of the political spectrum, have to accept that there is a core vote  – probably in the region of 25% of the electorate -  who will not ever buy in to the implications of responding to these changes. Hence such a situation has to be faced up to ... and the Tory agenda challenged.

The changes that are clearly evident in society manifest  themselves through  considerably more clamour for transparency; fairness; justice; freedom; equality; human rights; wider understanding of international development issues; apprehension over the environment and climate change; and concerns over deepening world poverty etc. All is being ignored at the altar of the Tory agenda along with a fear of being dubbed politically as far left, progressive and, dare I say, radical. The problem emerging in British politics is that the centre ground has shifted to the right.

We are still trapped in the old politics where there is a general feeling that the Tories have a ‘moral’ right to govern. So, at present, they govern as if they have a majority of a hundred seats. They claim that they have a ‘mandate’ to be the government but that is only valid under the definitions of the old two party political system. In reality, of course, they have no such mandate and, put simply, they did not win the support of anything like the majority of the people to have any such moral authority. 66% of the electorate either did not vote or voted anti –Tory and yet Mr Cameron believes, in his heart, that all is well with the world. Indeed only 24% of those entitled to vote made him Prime Minister under our crumbling, archaic electoral system.

So when Harriet Harman announced that she had been round the country and had listened to the people’s voices – stating that ‘they had given a clear message’- I am not sure that she had been speaking and listening to the right people. True, some people did deliver some kind of message, but they were far from being in the majority. Harriet Harman either misunderstood the message or only spoke with Tory swing voters! The consequence of this was the debacle of Labour’s response to the Welfare Bill and even abstaining in the Commons vote. So, in an instant, that illustrates everything about the current Labour leadership and the state of mind of three of its candidates to be leader.

Back to my question - what is the point of Labour today? Well the UK Union is fragmenting and so are its political allegiances along with the party political system. The two party political system effectively ceased at the General Election of 1983 and, since then, a clear plurality has been emerging in our politics. Progressive politics is about much more than economics, the debate over the national debt, the financial deficit, the size of the public sector and the like. This is a fact the centre-left leaders have to grasp ... and quickly. The Labour party in particular needs to understand that All-party cooperation is now essential on a wide range of matters. The traditional ‘macho’ Labour approach just will not wash anymore for any reform to happen.

For me the old adage that ‘politics is the language of priorities’ still holds true but importantly the ‘priorities’ are changing.  Whatever the view - of many in the Labour party and country – is of Jeremy Corbyn, there is little doubt that he is capturing that mood just as Tim Farron is doing as the new leader of the Liberal Democrats.