Sunday, 3 January 2016

Newsletter of the Wales Council for the European Movement

WALES IN
EUROPE
Newsletter No 1 
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Dear Members and Supporters,

2016 will be a momentous year. At the time of writing it looks as though the
British people will be asked in a referendum held in early summer whether they wish to remain in the European Union of which Britain has now been a member for 43 years. If the answer is ‘yes,’ then life will continue much as we know it now. Little will change. Our international partners across the Atlantic, in Asia and in Europe will be relived. So will the businesses that form the economic backbone of Britain.

But if we vote to leave, then who knows what will happen? What will not be the case is that Britain will be transformed into a land of milk and honey.
Assertion that all will be well is no substitute for hard evidence that it won't.
And if Scotland were to vote to remain in the EU, while elsewhere the vote was to leave, that could trigger a second referendum on independence, splitting the UK and reducing our influence in the world even further.

So much hangs in the balance. It will truly be a momentous year.

That is why it is so vital that every member, every supporter, tries to recruit others to the vital goal of securing a ‘Yes’ vote in the referendum. The campaigns are gearing up now with the European Movement contributing vigorously to the ‘Stronger In’ campaign. ‘Stronger In’ - see website details below will also be able to advise how you can become involved in the single unified campaign to keep Wales in the European Union.

In this newsletter we rehearse some of the key arguments and statistics from a Wales perspective, beginning with a contribution from . . .

Carwyn Jones, First Minister of Wales:

We’ve always been clear in our desire to remain part of the European Union (EU).
The importance of the Single Market should never be taken for granted. It is the world’s biggest free trade area in GDP terms and the UK’s and Wales’ largest trading partner.
Businesses in the EU enjoy a ‘home’ market of just over 500 million people with the ability to sell goods and services without tariffs or other trade restrictions and with common safety and other regulatory standards.

The Single Market is the largest market for Welsh exports – in 2014 alone exports of
goods from Wales to other EU Member States were worth nearly £5.8bn. In fact, 200,000 jobs in Wales depend on access to the Single Market. It is also a major driver of inward investment. In 2015, there were over 500 enterprises from other EU countries with operations in Wales, employing over 55,000 people.

European programmes, such as the Structural Funds and the CAP, support the economy, particularly in our most disadvantaged areas. Over the years Wales has benefited from billions of pounds of EU funds. In 2015 we invested £425 million of EU Structural Funds to support our economy and labour market.

While the EU’s Common Agricultural Policy provides direct payments to more than 16,000 farm businesses in Wales, amounting to around £200 million a year.

The benefits of being part of the EU are numerous and great.

To leave, in my opinion would be a mistake - a mistake Wales would regret.
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 ‘Free’ Trade
I sometimes wonder whether people, particularly the eurosceptics, who write about free trade and markets understand what they are talking about? Out of the EU, they say, we shall be able to trade freely with whoever we wish without being hindered by EU regulations. Really?

Every market is regulated - you can't just sell whatever you want to anyone. If you buy so much as an electric plug you will see it carries the CE mark that says it conforms to European regulations - in other words that it meets certain safety standards. Many countries use the European standard, but each market will have a standard to which goods must comply.

Being in the EU allows us to influence what the European standard should be. It also avoids our having to negotiate with each and every country because we can be part of the global deals brokered by the EU.

If we leave the EU then we shall have to go on complying with the European standards used by so many countries. It is a myth to think that we could manufacture goods willy nilly and other countries would just accept them, regardless of safety matters, or efficiency, or labour laws.

So we shall have to go on complying with European standards regardless of whether we are in the EU. But if we are in then we can work to change the standards; if we are out then we can’t.

 Message from WCEM Vice-Chair Gwynoro Jones ‘Challenging the Eurosceptics’

UKIP is effective at scaremongering tactics, pointing out the problems within the European Union (EU) and exploiting peoples’ unhappiness with the current state of British politics.

But when challenged as to what life would be like for Wales, its people, industries and communities, outside the EU they have no answer.

So we must challenge UKIP and the Tory euro-sceptics to tell the Welsh people what their future outside the EU is going to be when it comes to investment, economic growth and for agriculture and the rural economy and so on, and not just to give us platitudes and generalities.

With so much uncertainty why take such a leap in the dark? Why jeopardise what we know and have now? If the coming vote will be a ‘Yes’ to stay in the EU then we know where we are. Life will go on and some changes to improve our relationship might even have been secured in the negotiations.

But should the vote be ‘No,’ what then? There will be no going back. Leaving the EU will not be like leaving a golf club, a political party or even a relationship.

For sure the exit would be a messy and protracted and we should be negotiating our exit, applying for access to the Single Market etc, from a position a weakness and to those who will have been bruised by our behaviour and disinclined to do us any favours.

Moreover, although the Lisbon Treaty allows some 2 years for this process, the EU is not noted for arriving at quick decisions. Consider the uncertainty and impact on investment, the financial markets, the value of sterling, business and commerce, the outflows of capital and labour and much more.

A recent study by Agra Europe outlined a worrying future for agriculture and the rural economy should Britain leave the EU. Currently the farming industry receives between £3.5bn and £4bn in financial support.

In this report it is envisaged that according to the UK Government’s own figures outside the EU the level of support would fall to just over £1bn. On that basis the future for the rural economy in Wales will be bleak outside the European Union.
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Farmers and Consumers

The other day I was at a meeting when a farmer said - you wouldn't believe the volume of EU regulations the agricultural industry had to satisfy, pesticides, water quality, foodtsffs, animal welfare etc etc. If we pulled out we could lose all these and have our own regulations.

'I asked him how long he thought it would take the government to get around to rewriting the statute book with a new set of regulations for British farmers and whether given the potential conflicts between farners, enviromentalists, animal welfarists, consumers, etc, the government might simply just leave the existing regulations in
place rather than having to renegotiate everything again?

He hadn't thought of that.
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Byddai gadael yr Undeb Ewropeaidd yn arwain at ganlyniadau difrifol yng nghefn gwlad.

Petai UKIP ac eraill yn y blaid Dorïaidd yn cael eu ffordd a Prydain yn gadael yr Undeb Ewropeaidd yna heb amheuaeth fydde yna le i ofni am ddyfodol ffermio, busnesau, gwasanaethau, a economi cymunedau gwledig Cymru.

I bwysleisio’r ffaith, ar hyn o bryd ar gyfartaledd mae ffermwyr yn dibynnu i fyny at 35 -50% o’u hincwm gros ar cymorthdal yr Undeb Ewropeaidd. Amcangyfrifir pe bae y Deyrnas Unedig (DU) tu allan i’r Undeb Ewropeaidd fe fyddai yn wir dyfodol llwm yn gwynebu ffermnio gan mae dim ond tua 10-15% o ffermydd allai oroesi heb y lefelau presennol o gymorth.

Hefyd ar hyn o bryd, derbynnir gan y DU tua £4.0bn mewn taliadau cymhorthdal ar gyfer busnesau ffermio a cefn gwlad. Y dyfaliad gorau sydd wedi ei wneud pe byddai
Llywodraeth Prydain yn gweithredu ar ei ben ei hun dim ond tua £1.0bn galle’r llywodraeth glustnodi i amaethyddiaeth.

Er mwyn sicrhau bod amaethyddiaeth gynaliadwy yn gweithredu yn llwyddianus o fewn cymuned gynaliadwy dibynnir ar bedair elfen bwysig - cefnogi gwasanaethau gwledig a'r economi, gofalu am yr amgylchedd, diogelu ein treftadaeth a sicrhau lefelau da o incwm.

Heb os mae y gwahanol bolisïau i ddatblygu busnesau a mentrau gwledig yn cael ei
hyrwyddo yn dda gan yr Undeb Ewropeaidd ac yn cyfrannu'n effeithiol i gefnogi'r economi wledig, cymunedau, treftadaeth a thirwedd.

Gwna’r Rhaglen Cynlluniau Datblygu Gwledig cyfraniad amhrisiadwy. Mae’r cyllid a geir nid yn unig yn cefnogi y diwydiant amaethyddol, ond hefyd busnesau megis twristiaeth a gwasanaethau gwledig eraill.

Bydd gadael yr Undeb Ewropeaidd yn drychineb i gefn gwlad.
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 Young European Movement

Cardiff Young European Movement (CYEM) is the young members branch of the European movement in Cardiff. The aim of CYEM is to work for a staying in vote in the upcoming referendum on EU membership in the UK. Also to maintain close cultural links with other (YEM) branches across the UK, and Young European Federalists (JEF) across Europe.
We do not have an date set let but their will be an social event some time in the end of January Contact: Michailcardiff@gmail.com

AGM/Conference.
No date has been fixed yet for the AGM but we expect this to be in March, probably in Brecon
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 Websites:

European Movement UK: euromove.org.uk
Young European Movement: yem.org.uk
Stronger In Campaign www.strongerin.co.uk
British Influence www.britishinfluence.org
Gwynoro Jones - gwynorojones@blogspot.co.uk
Facebook: Yes Europe Wales,
Ie Dros Ewrop
Wales for Europe
Cymru Dros Ewrop
Yes to Staying in EU

Peter Sain ley Berry, Treasurer and Newsletter Editor

wales@euromove.org.uk